Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.065777 0.078144 0.092030 0.108753 0.128321 0.150469 0.177416
2025-03-16 0.045725 0.061232 0.080655 0.106664 0.140472 0.182806 0.239704
2025-03-23 0.035903 0.052797 0.075827 0.109291 0.156404 0.220054 0.312189
2025-03-30 0.028457 0.045293 0.069943 0.108283 0.165944 0.248851 0.376333
2025-04-06 0.022808 0.038942 0.064096 0.105624 0.171772 0.272134 0.434669
2025-04-13 0.018415 0.033526 0.058475 0.101948 0.174866 0.290943 0.487795
2025-04-20 0.016007 0.030870 0.056695 0.103906 0.186785 0.324402 0.567376
2025-04-27 0.013890 0.028280 0.054514 0.104667 0.196517 0.355094 0.645647
2025-05-04 0.012121 0.025980 0.052416 0.105126 0.205557 0.385351 0.726294
2025-05-11 0.010777 0.024245 0.051054 0.106652 0.216560 0.420049 0.818369
2025-05-18 0.009871 0.023236 0.050914 0.110447 0.232207 0.464718 0.933285
2025-05-25 0.008410 0.020753 0.047384 0.106863 0.232840 0.481141 0.996607
2025-06-01 0.007437 0.019212 0.045650 0.106885 0.241017 0.513531 1.095544
2025-06-08 0.006475 0.017513 0.043304 0.105244 0.245524 0.539201 1.184191
2025-06-15 0.005933 0.016739 0.042925 0.107925 0.259662 0.586061 1.321225
2025-06-22 0.005241 0.015440 0.041093 0.106946 0.265467 0.615933 1.425616
2025-06-29 0.004557 0.014023 0.038732 0.104322 0.267095 0.636848 1.512778
2025-07-06 0.003923 0.012608 0.036132 0.100690 0.265807 0.651045 1.586435
2025-07-13 0.003613 0.012068 0.035736 0.102626 0.278310 0.697937 1.739069
2025-07-20 0.003289 0.011419 0.034938 0.103377 0.287931 0.739098 1.882593
2025-07-27 0.002990 0.010786 0.034078 0.103832 0.296838 0.779469 2.028340
2025-08-03 0.002758 0.010319 0.033620 0.105339 0.308710 0.828303 2.199476
2025-08-10 0.002614 0.010120 0.033928 0.109091 0.327116 0.895301 2.422057